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Gold is resting today, taking a quick pitstop allowing people to jump in on the next rally to $1033 and then if clear that $1050+. All of this talk of the Gold bubble. Bubble or not there is some serious money to be made here- even at these levels. Have some stories to tell your Grandchildren and Great Grandchildren of how you “caught” the Gold Bull. Get in now or you will regret it! Gold currently holding above the key support level of $985. Gold needs to clear the $1026 to $1033 level to be sustained in it’s upward rally. A note of caution if it fails at $1033, retracement back down to $900 is possible, I would put in a trailing stop to protect your current profits. I recommend a 20-25% trailing stop so you don’t get caught in a whipsaw market action. Stay tuned as I am still long DGP and will tell you when I am getting out. Good Investing! – jschulmansr
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Protecting Yourself from a Gold ETF Bubble- Seeking alpha
Are gold ETFs entering a bubble? More and more people seem to think so.
There are two sides to the argument:
Owning gold seems logical now, given that the turmoil has gone completely global. Gold has also been rising, even as the U.S. dollar is gaining strength, too.
On the other hand, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is now routinely turning over $2 billion worth of trading each day, which might give investors pause. Is it becoming a herd mentality?
Meanwhile, Brett Arends for The Wall Street Journal gives the ins and outs of gold investing, including that gold is volatile and no one knows its true worth. For that reason, the mania is to be taken with a pinch of salt, he says.
While gold can be a volatile metal, right now, the trend is there. You can’t fight it. But if you’re in gold, have an exit strategy at the ready (we get out either 8% off the recent high or when it falls below the 200-day moving average). This will help protect investors from further losses, and may even preserve some gains that might have been made.
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My Note: The reason I put my stops at a greater percentage than 8% is from my days as a futures trader. Traders on the floor love tight stops of 5%, 10%, and even 15% and will often bid a commodity down 10%-15% to catch people’s stops and then let the market rise and pocket the money. This happens especially on days of lower volumes of trades. Watch carefully and his idea about exit after a close below the 200 day moving average is sound, remember though that it is a daily close (end of day) below the moving average not intraday trading. For those who already know this remember I have readers who are newbies and don’t know all the ins and outs, this is for them as I care about all my readers! – jschulmansr
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Next Here is the Article mentioned above…
Gold: Where to Invest and What to Avoid – Wall Street Journal
Source: Brent Arends of WSJ.com
Great news. The next bubble has already begun!
We’re still in intensive care from the stock market, housing and credit bubbles, but a gold bubble is now underway.
The precious metal crossed $1,000 per ounce on Friday, as investors around the world rushed to “shelter” their money from financial meltdown and spendthrift governments. And many people think it may rise to $2,000 or even $3,000.
Ordinary investors are jumping aboard. They’re buying gold coins or the gold exchange-traded fund, GLD.
I’m not against investing in gold-mining stocks. I recommended them here a few months ago — just before they began skyrocketing. It could certainly make sense to put 5% or 10% of a portfolio in the right precious metals fund. I have one suggestion below.
First: Gold is incredibly volatile. It can halve, or double, in short order. This is not like a normal mutual fund.
Second: No one really knows what gold is worth, because it generates no cash flow. Any numbers are pure guesswork.
And third: Investing directly in gold violates the old adage that you should never get into bed with anyone crazy. Gold fanatics are far-out nuts. No kidding. If you met these people you’d run a mile.
Even some intelligent, and otherwise sensible, people aren’t immune from the madness. They will pound the table and insist gold is the only “real” money because it’s been coveted since ancient Egypt, if not before.
Please. Ancient superstition is no argument. People around the world used to think only a monarchy could be a “real government”. Sorry, I’m not buying the Divine Right of Gold any more than I buy the Divine Right of Kings.
Ancients coveted gold for three reasons. It was pretty. It’s really soft, so it was easy to manipulate with primitive tools. And they didn’t have many other material things worth desiring, like split-level oceanfront homes or flat screen TVs or first-class tickets to Hawaii. The ancients were short on opportunities for retail therapy.
The world has changed since, so take gold mania with a certain pinch of salt.
Nonetheless gold has some value. So do other precious metals. (I think the long-term case for platinum is stronger – but that’s another column.)
Every government on the planet is printing money in the trillions to stave off a prolonged depression, and they’re going to continue to do so until it works. Precious metals cannot be manufactured in the same way. So you can expect them to rise in price.
Shares in the big gold miners, like Barrick and Newmont, have been booming for a few months.
But the smaller ones are still looking very cheap – especially compared to the gold price. (See chart.)
These stocks got absolutely crushed last year, along with gold prices and small company stocks.
Although they have started rallying too, they have much further still to go. Ordinary retail investors haven’t started buying them – yet.
Don’t go it alone. Investing in gold minnows is tricky.
One mutual fund worth a look: US Global Investors’ World Precious Minerals Fund. It’s one of the few to focus mainly on smaller gold stocks.
Manager Frank Holmes, a 20-year industry veteran, agrees the juniors are comparatively cheap. And he sees takeovers starting as well. “Eventually the seniors will have to gobble (the juniors) up,” he says. “They can’t find enough gold to replenish their production.”
Write to Brett Arends at brett.arends@wsj.com
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My Note: What Have I been telling you about the juniors? Remember as a general rule I buy those junior miners which currently are producing or are about to start production in the very near term. These companies I believe are the ones who will be the most attractive takeover candidates. My disclosure: I am Long GLD, UNPWX, along with many of the juniors too-jschulmansr
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Nothing in today’s post should be considered as an offer to buy or sell any securities or other investments; it is presented for informational purposes only. As a good investor, consult your Investment Advisor/s, Do Your Due Diligence, Read All Prospectus/s and related information carefully before you make any investing decisions and/or investments. – jschulmansr
thanks for good information……..
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